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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 26.43% ( | 25.79% ( | 47.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( | 52.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( | 74.43% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( | 34.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( | 71.65% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( | 22.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( | 55.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 3-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.77% |