Cheltenham Town
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Colchester United

Cheltenham
2 - 1
Colchester

Pett (3'), Miller (90+1')
Jude-Boyd (34'), Archer (76'), Thomas (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (45+3')
Kelleher (28'), Payne (61'), Taylor (66')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Cheltenham Town and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Cheltenham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Accrington
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawColchester United
37.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)25.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.76% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.83% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.45% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)60.71% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 37.41%
    Colchester United 36.76%
    Draw 25.82%
Cheltenham TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.76%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Colchester
1-2
Cheltenham
Taylor (27')
Iandolo (71')
Thomas (5', 45+2')
Day (90')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cheltenham
1-0
Colchester
Thomas (82')
Long (20'), Blair (86')

Pell (40'), Smith (89')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Colchester
0-0
Cheltenham
Lapslie (89')
Clements (75')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Colchester
0-2
Cheltenham

Pell (19'), Harriott (45'), Prosser (51'), Sowunmi (76')
Sowunmi (90')
May (39'), Hussey (79')
May (20'), Smith (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Cheltenham
1-1
Colchester
Thomas (71' pen.)
Hussey (62'), Greaves (66')
Norris (28')
Nouble (21'), Gerken (70'), Eastman (79')