Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.