League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
2 - 0
Gillingham

Taylor (6'), Gordon (85')
Cowley (0'), Egbo (75'), McDonnell (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ogie (87'), Clarke (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Colchester
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Cheltenham
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Gillingham
50.99% ( 0.43)	26.05% ( 0.03)	22.96% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-0.49)

56.4% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.58% (

-0.4)

77.41% (

0.4)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.02)

22.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.03)

55.6% (

0.03)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60% (

-0.72)

40% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.35% (

-0.66)

76.65% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 50.98%

Gillingham 22.96%

Draw 26.04%

Colchester United	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.96%