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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Colchester
1 - 1
Doncaster

Taylor (51')
Taylor (45+1'), McDonnell (45+1'), Thorn (60'), Iandolo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gibson (40')
Sterry (32'), Bailey (42'), Gibson (69')
Gibson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
40.45% (0.1 0.1)27.46% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)32.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.85% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (0.089999999999996 0.09)56.67% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (0.071999999999999 0.07)77.63% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (0.096999999999994 0.1)27.47% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (0.126 0.13)62.96% (-0.121 -0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36%32.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81%69.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.44%
    Doncaster Rovers 32.09%
    Draw 27.45%
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.44%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.09%

How you voted: Colchester vs Doncaster

Colchester United
21.1%
Draw
39.5%
Doncaster Rovers
39.5%
38
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Colchester
1-4
Doncaster
Fevrier (9')
Iandolo (13'), Harbottle (75')
Molyneux (14'), Biggins (22'), Anderson (76'), Ironside (85')
Sterry (17'), Ironside (45+3'), Biggins (73')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Doncaster
3-1
Colchester
Maxwell (33'), Faal (73'), Ironside (87' pen.)
Olowu (63'), Rowe (67')
Taylor (43')
Hopper (22'), McGeehan (51'), Smith (60'), Ihionvien (79')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Doncaster
1-0
Colchester
Rowe (30')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Colchester
3-0
Doncaster
Newby (45+1'), Tovide (59'), Hannant (89')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Doncaster
Dickenson (16')
James (48'), Eastman (71')
Baudry (45')
Mason (31'), Blair (42'), May (95')
rhs 2.0


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