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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 40.45% ( | 27.46% ( | 32.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.33% ( | 56.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.37% ( | 77.63% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( | 27.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% | 32.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% | 69.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.09% |