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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
| 46.78% ( | 23.76% ( | 29.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( | 42.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( | 64.56% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( | 18.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.73% ( | 49.27% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( | 27.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( | 62.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.46% |