Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
MK Dons

Walsall
4 - 2
MK Dons

Okagbue (32'), Gordon (46'), Williams (67'), Adomah (81')
Adomah (26'), Barrett (28'), Okagbue (49'), Jellis (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hogan (14'), Thompson-Sommers (85')
Williams (23'), Offord (80')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Walsall and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 4-2 Walsall
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawMK Dons
46.78% (-0.284 -0.28)23.76% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)29.46% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.6% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (0.22900000000001 0.23)42.16% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (0.23 0.23)64.56% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)18.23% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)49.27% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (0.316 0.32)27.11% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (0.41 0.41)62.5% (-0.407 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 46.78%
    MK Dons 29.46%
    Draw 23.76%
WalsallDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.46%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
MK Dons
1-0
Walsall
Hendry (18')
Hendry (68')

Weir (13'), Jellis (63')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
MK Dons
5-0
Walsall
Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
0-0
MK Dons
McEntee (27'), Hutchinson (41'), Williams (53')
Harrison (24'), Gilbey (66'), Norman (67')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Walsall
0-2
MK Dons
Lawrence (62'), Holland (90+3')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm