League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Hakeeb Adelakun 35'
  • yellowcard Ossama Ashley 50'
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 52'
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Shephard 78'

MK Dons vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
Chesterfield 1 - 2 MK Dons
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
Harrogate 0 - 2 Salford City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.

Result

MK Dons 34.25% (-0.02)
Draw 26.13% (-0.01)
Salford City 39.62% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.54% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.05% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 50.95% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.18% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.82% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.77% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.23% (-0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 71.64% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.36% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.1% (+0.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 74.73% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.27% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.97% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.03% (-0.03)

Score analysis

MK Dons 34.25%
Draw 26.13%
Salford City 39.62%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
Salford City
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.62%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Francis Okoronkko 42' goal
  • Tom Edwards 60' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Mike Williamson 21' yellowcard
  • Kyran Lofthouse 27' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 31' goal
  • Matt Smith 45'+7' goal
  • Lewis Bate 74' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 74' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Smith 12'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 20'
  • yellowcard Matt Smith 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 71'
  • yellowcard Theo Vassell 74'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 82'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Moor Lane
  • Matthew Lund 33' yellowcard
  • Neil Wood 34' yellowcard
  • Kelly N'Mai 36' goal
  • Ryan Watson 45'+2' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 64' yellowcard
  • goal Max Dean 10'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 50'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 67'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 72'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 73'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 88'