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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 32.37% ( | 26.52% ( | 41.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( | 52.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( | 74.56% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( | 30.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( | 66.8% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( | 25.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.37% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.11% |