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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 61.22% ( | 21.94% ( | 16.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.82% ( | 70.18% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( | 15.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% ( | 43.82% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% | 41.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.7% | 78.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 2-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 61.2% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.84% |