League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Jan 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Greaves (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (49'), Sawyers (77')
Harbottle (41'), Tilley (53'), Kelly (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Newport
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, December 30 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
23.77% ( -0.35)	23.86% ( 0.06)	52.37% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96% (

-0.58)

47.04% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72% (

-0.54)

69.29% (

0.55)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0.62)

34.04% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28% (

-0.68)

70.72% (

0.68)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.11)

17.94% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24% (

-0.18)

48.76% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Newport County 23.77%

AFC Wimbledon 52.37%

Draw 23.85%

Newport County	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 23.77%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 52.37%