League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Mathew Stevens 50' goal
  • Mathew Stevens 56' yellowcard
  • Isaac Ogundere 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Gale 56'
  • yellowcard Armani Little 74'
  • yellowcard Bradley Dack 77'
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 90'+5'

AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Swindon
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mathew Stevens

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Colchester 2 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jayden Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AFC Wimbledon.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 52.07% (-0.01)
Draw 25.87% (-0.01)
Gillingham 22.07% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.19% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.47% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.52% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.48% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 77.51% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 9.8% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.2% (-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 78.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.02% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.97% (-0.02)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 59.05% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.94% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.49% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.51% (-0.03)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 52.05%
Draw 25.86%
Gillingham 22.07%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.86%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.56% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.07%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Omar Bugiel 33' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 65' goal
  • Josh Neufville 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 11'
  • yellowcard Conor Masterson 36'
  • redcard Conor Masterson 38'
  • yellowcard Max Clark 58'
League Two Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Conor Masterson 85' goal
  • yellowcard James Tilley 43'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Max Ehmer 58' goal
  • Cheye Alexander 66' goal
  • goal Ali Al-Hamadi 52'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Ayoub Assal 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 43'
  • yellowcard Ben Reeves 69'
  • yellowcard Jordan Green 81'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 90'
  • goal Jordan Green 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Will Nightingale 9' yellowcard
  • Ethan Chislett 15' goal
  • George Marsh 47' yellowcard
  • Paris Maghoma 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Currie 71' goal
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 35'
  • yellowcard Olly Lee 47'
  • yellowcard Ben Reeves 57'
  • yellowcard Will Wright 67'
  • yellowcard Scott Kashket 81'
League One Gameweek 35
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Tucker 74' yellowcard
  • Olly Lee 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dapo Mebude 90'+4'