Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Gillingham

Stevens (50')
Stevens (56'), Ogundere (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gale (56'), Little (74'), Dack (77'), Ehmer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Gillingham
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AFC Wimbledon.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
52.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)22.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04)56.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.78% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (0.035999999999994 0.04)40.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.05%
    Gillingham 22.07%
    Draw 25.86%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Gillingham
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')