League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
1 - 0
Carlisle

Norman (23', 23', 23')
Patrick (38'), Patrick (38'), Patrick (38'), Davies (58'), Davies (58'), Jennings (90+3'), Jennings (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Hayden (77'), Hayden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Carlisle
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
47.68% ( 0.02)	25.82% ( -0.01)	26.5% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.68% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14% (

0.03)

52.85% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53% (

0.02)

74.47% (

-0.03)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

0.02)

22.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

0.03)

55.56% (

-0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12% (

34.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38% (

71.61% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 47.68%

Carlisle United 26.5%

Draw 25.81%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 47.68%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.5%