League Two Gameweek 25
Tranmere
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 3 0
FT Prenton Park
Carlisle
  • Cameron Norman 23' goal
  • Cameron Norman 23' goal
  • Cameron Norman 23' goal
  • Omari Patrick 38' yellowcard
  • Omari Patrick 38' yellowcard
  • Omari Patrick 38' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 58' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 58' yellowcard
  • Connor Jennings 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Connor Jennings 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 77'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 77'

Tranmere Rovers vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
Morecambe 2 - 0 Tranmere
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
Crewe 3 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result

Tranmere Rovers 47.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 25.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Carlisle United 26.5% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 52.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 74.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 11.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 77.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 22.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 44.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 65.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.61% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
Draw 25.81%
Carlisle United 26.5%
Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 11.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 47.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.81%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.5%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 4
Carlisle
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
Tranmere
  • Omari Patrick 7' goal
  • Jordan Jones 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jack Ellis 85' yellowcard
  • goal Archie Davies 7'
  • goal Omari Patrick 37'
League Two Gameweek 40
Carlisle
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
Tranmere
  • Kristian Dennis 3' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 39' goal
FA Cup
Carlisle
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
Tranmere
  • Jordan Gibson 30' goal
  • Jayden Harris 66' goal
  • goal Neil Byrne 82'
League Two Gameweek 17
Tranmere
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Prenton Park
Carlisle
  • goal Kristian Dennis 1'
  • goal Kristian Dennis 54'
League Two Gameweek 40
Tranmere
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Kane Hemmings 15' goal
  • Calum MacDonald 40' redcard
  • Kane Hemmings 43' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 44' yellowcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 76' goal
  • Josh Cogley 88' yellowcard
  • Kieron Morris 90'+1' redcard
  • Joe Murphy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Peter Clarke 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dynel Simeu 43'
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 43'
  • goal Omari Patrick 55'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Mellor 64'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 90'+2'
  • goal Tobi Sho-Silva 90'+7'
League Two Gameweek 12
Carlisle
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Tranmere
  • Zach Clough 37' yellowcard
  • goal Calum MacDonald 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Hawkes 65'
  • yellowcard Jay Spearing 90'+3'

Form Data

Morecambe 2 - 0 Tranmere
Tranmere 1 - 1 Barrow
Doncaster 3 - 1 Tranmere
Tranmere 2 - 1 Harrogate
Rotherham 3 - 2 Tranmere
Chesterfield 3 - 0 Tranmere
Crewe 3 - 2 Carlisle
Carlisle 2 - 1 Accrington
Carlisle 0 - 1 Morecambe
Port Vale 0 - 0 Carlisle
Carlisle 0 - 2 Chesterfield
Carlisle 1 - 1 Crewe