League Two

League Two | Gameweek 28

Jan 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 2
Swindon

Hudlin (12')
Hudlin (45+1'), Evans (47'), Whitmore (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Smith (15'), Westley (75')
Smith (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Newport
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Swindon Town
34.83% ( 0.68)	24.33% ( -0.09)	40.84% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 59.92% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

0.56)

42.74% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

0.55)

65.15% (

-0.55)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

0.65)

24.11% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

0.91)

58.41% (

-0.92)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-0.04)

21.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

-0.06)

53.84% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Newport County 34.83%

Swindon Town 40.84%

Draw 24.32%

Newport County	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.83%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.84%