Port Vale vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.