League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 2
Newport

Garrity (29'), Stockley (62'), Headley (77')
Croasdale (16'), Smith (27')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kamwa (12'), Evans (33')
Jameson (62')
Jameson (87')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, January 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Newport County
65.72% ( -0.26)	21.46% ( 0.12)	12.81% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 41.44% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.53% (

-0.19)

53.47% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.01% (

-0.16)

74.99% (

0.16)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.15)

15.55% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5% (

-0.27)

44.49% (

0.27)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.07% (

0.1)

50.93% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.7% (

0.07)

85.29% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 65.71%

Newport County 12.81%

Draw 21.46%

Port Vale	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 65.71%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.46%	0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 12.81%