League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale3 - 2Newport
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Newport County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Newport 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, January 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Thursday, January 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
30
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Newport County |
65.72% ( -0.26) | 21.46% ( 0.12) | 12.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
