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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Port Vale

Grimsby Town
3 - 0
Port Vale

McJannett (29'), Tharme (82'), Svanthorsson (90+2')
Artell (16'), Davies (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Debrah (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Harrogate
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Port Vale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Port Vale
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawPort Vale
32.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)27.55% (0.0019999999999989 0)39.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 48.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1%56.9% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18%77.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)68.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 32.62%
    Port Vale 39.82%
    Draw 27.54%
Grimsby TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.62%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.82%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Port Vale

Grimsby Town
44.4%
Draw
44.4%
Port Vale
11.1%
9
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Grimsby Town
1-0
Port Vale
Green (32')
Green (45')

Legge (54'), Montano (83')
Montano (87')
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Port Vale
3-0
Grimsby Town
Brisley (8'), Rodney (15'), Waterfall (60' og.)
Joyce (11'), Brisley (69')

Wright (86')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 43
Port Vale
P-P
Grimsby Town
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Grimsby Town
5-2
Port Vale
Cook (20'), Ogbu (51'), Green (57'), Waterfall (80'), Hanson (86')
Whitehouse (72'), Hewitt (90')
Whitehouse (13' og.), Smith (62')
Worrall (55'), Joyce (73')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Port Vale
0-1
Grimsby Town

Kay (24')
Thomas (62')