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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 28.36% | 28.08% | 43.56% |
| Both teams to score 45.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% | 60.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% | 80.34% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% | 37.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% | 74.09% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 13.23% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.2% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.81% Total : 43.55% |