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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 27.14% | 27.48% | 45.37% |
| Both teams to score 46.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% | 58.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% | 79.17% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% | 37.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% | 74.25% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% | 25.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% | 60.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.14% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.36% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.37% |