Port Vale

2 - 1

Bradford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.