League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 1
Bradford

Robinson (16'), Conlon (32' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Donaldson (14')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Bradford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Bradford City
41.42%	28.35%	30.23%

Both teams to score 45.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.61%

60.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.46%

80.53%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3%

28.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47%

64.53%

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02%

35.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24%

72.76%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 41.41%

Bradford City 30.22%

Draw 28.34%

Port Vale	Draw	Bradford City
1-0 @ 12.88% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.64% Total : 41.41%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.22%