League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 5
Swindon

Hugill (88')
Jones (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Butterworth (45+2'), Drinan (47'), Westley (83'), Glatzel (90'), Wright (90+6')
Smith (63'), Delaney (89')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
35.57% ( -0.02)	26.62% ( 0)	37.8% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14% (

-0)

52.86% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53% (

-0)

74.47% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

-0.01)

28.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

-0.02)

64.24% (

0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84% (

0.01)

27.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.44% (

0.01)

62.56% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 35.57%

Swindon Town 37.79%

Draw 26.62%

Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.57%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.79%