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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Bradford City

Carlisle
0 - 1
Bradford


McArthur (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kavanagh (54')
Sarcevic (76'), Richards (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
26.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)26.16% (0.0040000000000013 0)47.52% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)54.29% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)75.68% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)35.8% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (-0.032 -0.03)72.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)56.58% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 26.31%
    Bradford City 47.52%
    Draw 26.15%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.31%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 47.52%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Bradford
2-1
Carlisle
Cook (2', 70')
Byrne (29'), Kelly (78'), Diabate (90+3')
Neal (58')
Neal (20'), Barclay (64'), Davies (67'), McGeouch (81')
May 20, 2023 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0


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