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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bradford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 26.31% ( | 26.16% ( | 47.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% ( | 54.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% ( | 75.68% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( | 35.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( | 72.58% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( | 22.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( | 56.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.31% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.52% |