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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 48.17% ( | 25.72% ( | 26.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( | 52.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( | 74.39% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( | 21.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% ( | 55.17% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( | 35.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( | 71.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.1% |