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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 32.32% ( | 26.44% ( | 41.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% ( | 52.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( | 74.3% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( | 30.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% ( | 66.66% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( | 25.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( | 59.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.32% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.24% |