Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 78.14%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 8.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 2-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.