EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Villa Park
Bradford City

Aston Villa U21s
1 - 3
Bradford

Pierre (24')
Taylor (57')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Kavanagh (9'), Shepherd (14'), Johnson (26')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Aston Villa U21s (17-18 pen.)
Tuesday, December 17 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Bradford City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 4 at 1pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 78.14%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 8.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 2-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawBradford City
8.21% (0.019 0.02)13.65% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)78.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.63% (0.057000000000002 0.06)31.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.18% (0.068000000000005 0.07)52.82% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.82% (0.089999999999996 0.09)45.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (0.071999999999999 0.07)81.07% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)6.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.07% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 8.21%
    Bradford City 78.13%
    Draw 13.65%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawBradford City
2-1 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 8.21%
1-1 @ 6.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.65%
0-2 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 6.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-6 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 78.13%

How you voted: Aston Villa U21s vs Bradford

Aston Villa Under-21s
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Bradford City
37.5%
8