League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Rod McDonald 14' yellowcard
  • Alassana Jatta 19' goal
  • David McGoldrick 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Fusire 15'
  • yellowcard Charlie McArthur 76'

Notts County vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
Notts County 1 - 1 Bromley
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.

Result

Notts County 52.4% (-0.05)
Draw 23.47% (+0.01)
Carlisle United 24.13% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.04% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.61% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.39% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.51% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.49% (+0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 82.82% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.18% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.44% (+0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 67.36% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.64% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 30.81% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.19% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Notts County 52.4%
Draw 23.48%
Carlisle United 24.13%
Notts County
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.48%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 6.28% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.13%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Josh Vela 60' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 10'
  • yellowcard Matthew Platt 16'
  • goal Scott Robertson 34'
  • yellowcard George Abbott 62'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 82'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
  • Anthony Gerrard 66' yellowcard
  • Hallam Hope 76' goal
  • Jamie Devitt 96' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Milsom 23'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 37'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 66'
  • yellowcard Mitch Rose 87'
  • goal Lewis Alessandra 90'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 93'
League Two Gameweek 20
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Elliott Hewitt 63' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 84'
League Two
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jon Stead 19' goal
  • Jon Stead 35' goal
  • Liam Noble 62' yellowcard
  • Richard Duffy 79' yellowcard
  • Noor Husin 80' yellowcard
  • Lewis Alessandra 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Devitt 75'
League Two
Oct 21, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hallam Hope 25' goal
  • Tom Miller 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Yates 58'
League Two
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jabo Ibehre 57' goal
  • goal Jon Stead 85'
  • goal Matt Tootle 89'