League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 0
Carlisle

Jatta (19')
McDonald (14'), McGoldrick (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fusire (15'), McArthur (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Carlisle United
52.4% ( -0.05)	23.47% ( 0.01)	24.13% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.79% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-0)

45.04% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-0)

67.39% (

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.02)

17.18% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.56% (

-0.03)

47.44% (

0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

0.03)

32.64% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

0.04)

69.19% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Notts County 52.4%

Carlisle United 24.13%

Draw 23.48%

Notts County	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.4%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.13%