League Two

League Two | Gameweek 28

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
1 - 2
Carlisle

Coughlin (70')
Wiredu (18'), Potter (44'), Bennett (56'), Rooney (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Scott (19'), Lavelle (85')
Patching (23'), Embleton (70'), Hugill (88'), Breeze (90+2')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Carlisle United
43.44% ( -0.01)	27.05% ( 0.02)	29.51% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.01% (

-0.05)

55.98% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92% (

-0.05)

77.08% (

0.04)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44% (

-0.03)

25.56% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.57% (

-0.04)

60.43% (

0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83% (

-0.03)

34.17% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13% (

-0.04)

70.86% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 43.44%

Carlisle United 29.51%

Draw 27.05%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.44%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.51%