Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.