League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
0 - 3
Notts County

Whalley (3'), Whalley (3'), Woods (9'), Woods (9'), Coyle (35'), Coyle (35')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Abbott (16', 16'), McGoldrick (27', 27', 63')
Grant (6'), Grant (6'), Hinchy (90')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, January 11 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Notts County
33.06% ( 0.15)	24.11% ( -0.07)	42.82% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.8% (

0.4)

42.2% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

0.39)

64.6% (

-0.39)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

0.28)

24.87% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

0.38)

59.48% (

-0.38)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

0.13)

19.91% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96% (

0.21)

52.04% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 33.06%

Notts County 42.82%

Draw 24.11%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.06%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.82%