Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 83.15%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.