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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 50.84% ( | 24.34% ( | 24.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( | 48.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( | 70.31% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( | 18.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( | 50.47% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( | 33.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( | 70.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.82% |