League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT County Ground
  • Harry Smith 22' yellowcard
  • Ollie Clarke 37' yellowcard
  • Paul Glatzel 86' goal
  • Harry Smith 90' goal
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 90'+4' goal
  • goal Josh Davison 7'
  • yellowcard Cameron Norman 19'
  • yellowcard Declan Drysdale 22'
  • yellowcard Josh Davison 54'
  • redcard Cameron Norman 62'
  • redcard Declan Drysdale 90'+4'

Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2025 7.45pm
Newport 1 - 2 Swindon
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Harry Smith

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
Tranmere 1 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result

Swindon Town 50.84% (-0.03)
Draw 24.34% (+0.03)
Tranmere Rovers 24.81% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.7% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.85% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.15% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.69% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 70.31% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.46% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.54% (+0.07)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 81.05% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.95% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 49.53% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 50.47% (+0.08)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 66.25% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 33.75% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 29.6% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 70.4% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 50.83%
Draw 24.34%
Tranmere Rovers 24.82%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.63% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.39% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
Tranmere Rovers
0-1 @ 6.95% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.82%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Prenton Park
  • Kristian Dennis 17' goal
  • yellowcard Jeff King 24'
  • goal Chris Merrie 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jake Cain 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT County Ground
  • Sean McGurk 23' goal
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 35' goal
  • Conor McCarthy 39' yellowcard
  • Dawson Devoy 61' yellowcard
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 64' goal
  • goal Rob Apter 25'
  • yellowcard Chris Merrie 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Prenton Park
  • Connor Jennings 42' yellowcard
  • Kieron Morris 55' goal
  • Brad Walker 57' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 72' goal
  • goal Dan Kemp 22'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 82'
  • yellowcard Jake Young 89'
  • yellowcard Remeao Hutton 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prenton Park
  • Harvey Saunders 22' goal
League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jacob Wakeling 30' goal
  • goal Josh Hawkes 9'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Davies 2' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 6' goal
  • Paul Glatzel 58' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 72' goal
  • yellowcard Jayden Mitchell-Lawson 60'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 85'