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Tranmere Rovers
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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

Glatzel (86'), Smith (90'), Tshimanga (90+4' pen.)
Smith (22'), Clarke (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davison (7')
Norman (19'), Drysdale (22'), Davison (54')
Norman (62'), Drysdale (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Swindon
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
50.84% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)24.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-0.105 -0.1)48.15% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.096 -0.1)70.31% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)18.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)50.47% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)33.75% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.064 -0.06)70.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.83%
    Tranmere Rovers 24.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Tranmere Rovers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Tranmere
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (17')
Merrie (54' og.)
King (24'), Cain (90+3')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-1
Tranmere
McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Tranmere
1-0
Swindon
Saunders (22')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')