League Two

League Two | Gameweek 31

Feb 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
3 - 3
Port Vale

Wright (20' pen.), Butterworth (45'), Cotterill (63')
Cain (57')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Headley (31'), Tolaj (40', 87')
John (49'), Heneghan (56'), Smith (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Port Vale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Port Vale 1-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
40.05% ( 0.05)	26.37% ( -0.02)	33.57% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

0.06)

52.07% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

0.05)

73.8% (

-0.05)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44% (

0.05)

25.55% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58% (

0.08)

60.42% (

-0.08)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

29.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.01)

65.31% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 40.04%

Port Vale 33.57%

Draw 26.37%

Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.04%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.57%