/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fporlog_1.png)
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Will Wright
20'
-
Daniel Butterworth
45'
-
Jake Cain
57'
-
Joel Cotterill
63'
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Jaheim Headley
31'
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Lorent Tolaj
40'
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Kyle John
49'
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Ben Heneghan
56'
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Nathan Smith
66'
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Lorent Tolaj
87'
Swindon Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Swindon Town
40.05%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
26.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Port Vale
33.57%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
52.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.92%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
52.07%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
26.19%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
73.8%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
12.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
87.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
74.44%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
25.55%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
39.58%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
60.42%
▼
(-0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5
70.66%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
29.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
34.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
65.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Swindon Town
40.04%
Draw
26.37%
Port Vale
33.57%
Swindon Town
1-0
@
10.22%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.04%
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.04%
Draw
1-1
@
12.54%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.37%
0-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.37%
Port Vale
0-1
@
9.19%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 33.57%
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 33.57%
