MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 09:54:43| >> :600:457591:457591:
Port Vale
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Feb 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Vale Park
Wrexham AFC

Port Vale
1 - 4
Wrexham

Curtis (1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cannon (31'), Ashfield (48'), Lee (63'), Faal (82')
O'Connor (21'), Ashfield (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Port Vale and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Wrexham

Port Vale will come into Tuesday's match confident of beating Wrexham given the visitors are in poor form and have struggled on the road. Additionally, the hosts have been strong of late themselves, and it would not be surprising if they edged a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawWrexham
42.52% (-0.158 -0.16) 27.41% (0.118 0.12) 30.06% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (-0.425 -0.43)57.11% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (-0.342 -0.34)77.99% (0.336 0.34)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.28 -0.28)26.55% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.372 -0.37)61.77% (0.368 0.37)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.199 -0.2)34.35% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.211 -0.21)71.06% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.52%
    Wrexham 30.06%
    Draw 27.41%
Port ValeDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 30.06%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Wrexham

Port Vale
34.1%
Draw
14.6%
Wrexham
51.2%
82
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-1
Wrexham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Port Vale win 3-1 on penalties)
Richards (82')
Cleworth (51')
Nov 7, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Wrexham
2-1
Port Vale
Mullin (70'), McClean (83')
McClean (73')
Thomas (31')
McDermott (90+7')
Apr 26, 2005 3pm
Port Vale
0-2
Wrexham

Birchall (76'), Walsh (83')
Holt (21'), Llewellyn (42')
Crowell (10'), Llewellyn (41')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Port Vale
Holt (72')
Llewellyn (65'), Ferguson (90')
Brooker (64')
James (51'), Hulbert (62')
rhs 2.0
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