EFL Trophy | Third Round

Feb 4, 2025 at 7pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 4
Wrexham

Curtis (1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cannon (31'), Ashfield (48'), Lee (63'), Faal (82')
O'Connor (21'), Ashfield (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Port Vale and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Wrexham
42.52% ( -0.16)	27.41% ( 0.12)	30.06% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.21% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.88% (

-0.43)

57.11% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01% (

-0.34)

77.99% (

0.34)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44% (

-0.28)

26.55% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23% (

-0.37)

61.77% (

0.37)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

-0.2)

34.35% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.21)

71.06% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 42.52%

Wrexham 30.06%

Draw 27.41%

Port Vale	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.52%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.06%