League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 1
Accrington

Stockley (7'), Tolaj (56')
Amos (27'), Harper (44'), Stockley (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Walton (51')
Batty (22'), Love (72')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
55.6% ( -0.15)	23.98% ( 0.05)	20.41% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

-0.1)

51.18% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97% (

-0.09)

73.02% (

0.09)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.09)

18.27% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

-0.16)

49.32% (

0.16)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4% (

0.04)

39.59% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72% (

0.04)

76.28% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 55.59%

Accrington Stanley 20.41%

Draw 23.98%

Port Vale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.59%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.41%