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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 58.36% ( | 21.98% ( | 19.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( | 43.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( | 66.2% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( | 14.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.1% ( | 42.89% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( | 72.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.77% 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 5-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.97% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.65% |