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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Morecambe
0 - 1
Crewe


Williams (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Long (68')
Sanders (20'), Knight-Lebel (74'), Williams (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
26.81% (-0.138 -0.14)27.02% (-0.058 -0.06)46.17% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 47.44% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (0.131 0.13)57.18% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (0.107 0.11)78.04% (-0.105 -0.11)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)36.96% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)73.75% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.155 0.16)24.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.217 0.22)59.3% (-0.216 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 26.81%
    Crewe Alexandra 46.17%
    Draw 27.02%
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.81%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 12.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.92% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.17%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crewe

Morecambe
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crewe
1-0
Morecambe
Hemmings (43' pen.)
Tracey (9'), Williams (71')

Songo'o (71'), Angol (86')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Morecambe
0-1
Crewe

Songo'o (90+5')
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
2-3
Morecambe
Nevitt (18'), Tracey (49')
Adebisi (25'), Demetriou (58')
Adams (69'), Slew (74'), Rawson (83')
Stokes (58'), Senior (68'), Hiwula (72')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Morecambe
1-2
Crewe
Leigh (36')
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
> Preview