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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 39.53% ( | 26.01% ( | 34.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( | 50.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.36% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( | 25.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( | 59.76% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( | 27.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( | 63.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.45% |