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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 51.35% ( | 23.65% ( | 25% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( | 67.34% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( | 17.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( | 48.08% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( | 31.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% ( | 68.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 25% |