League Two

League Two | Gameweek 33

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
1 - 0
Chesterfield

Tshimanga (61' pen.)
Smith (9'), McGregor (42'), W (45+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Donacien (45+3'), Metcalfe (90+3')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Chesterfield
41% ( -0.04)	25.07% ( -0.02)	33.93% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.05% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.62% (

0.1)

46.39% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.33% (

0.1)

68.67% (

-0.1)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

0.02)

22.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89% (

0.04)

56.11% (

-0.04)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

0.09)

26.36% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

0.12)

61.51% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 41%

Chesterfield 33.93%

Draw 25.07%

Swindon Town	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.93%