Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT County Ground

Harry Smith 9'
Ian Holloway 10'
Joel McGregor 42'
W 45'+5'
Kabongo Tshimanga 61'

Janoi Donacien 45'+3'
Jenson Metcalfe 90'+3'

Swindon Town vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

L
D
W
W
W
W

League Two

L
D
W
W
W
W

Last game

Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm

Harrogate 1 - 0 Swindon

Goals scored

71

Top scorer

Harry Smith

Chesterfield

All competitions

L
W
L
W
D
D

League Two

L
W
L
W
D
D

Last game

Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm

Walsall 3 - 1 Chesterfield

Goals scored

74

Top scorer

Will Grigg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result

Swindon Town 41% ▼ (-0.05)

Draw 25.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Chesterfield 33.93% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score:

57.05% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.62% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 2.5 46.39% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 3.5 31.33% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 3.5 68.67% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 4.5 15.6% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 4.5 84.4% ▼ (-0.07)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.47% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 22.53% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 43.89% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 56.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 73.64% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 0.5 26.36% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 1.5 38.5% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 1.5 61.51% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 41%

Draw 25.07%

Chesterfield 33.93%

Swindon Town

1-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.04)

2-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.28%

Total : 41%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)

3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 25.07%

Chesterfield

0-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)

1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.24%

Total : 33.93%

Head to Head

Aug 9, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Technique Stadium

Armando Dobra 15'
Paul Cook 18'

Jeff King 17'
Joel Cotterill 42'
Harry Smith 55'
Will Wright 64'
Will Wright 66'
Ollie Clarke 89'

Feb 24, 2018 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Chris O'Grady 2'
Andy Kellett 51'
Louis Reed 82'
Bradley Barry 90'

Oliver Banks 72'
Chris Robertson 75'
Luke Norris 78'

Nov 11, 2017 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Kaiyne Woolery 36'
James Dunne 45'
Timi Elsnik 47'
Luke Norris 90'

Kristian Dennis 56'
Louis Reed 63'
Jak McCourt 72'
Laurence Maguire 89'
Kristian Dennis 90'
Ian Evatt 95'

Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Sam Hird 74'
Daniel Jones 84'
Ched Evans 92'
Reece Mitchell 93'

Aug 13, 2016 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Gary Liddle 22'
Jay O'Shea 45'
Ched Evans 64'

Yaser Kasim 45'
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill 60'
Jamie Sendles-White 84'
Darnell Furlong 88'

Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Yaser Kasim 77'

Chris Herd 34'
Charlie Raglan 88'

Form Data

Harrogate 1 - 0 Swindon

Swindon 3 - 3 Port Vale

Carlisle 1 - 5 Swindon

Swindon 3 - 1 Tranmere

Newport 1 - 2 Swindon

Swindon 2 - 0 Barrow

Walsall 3 - 1 Chesterfield

Chesterfield 5 - 2 Doncaster

Cheltenham 1 - 0 Chesterfield

Chesterfield 3 - 0 Bromley

Chesterfield 1 - 1 Port Vale

Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Chesterfield