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Championship header 2

League Two

Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Chesterfield

Walsall
3 - 1
Chesterfield

Matt (52'), Harrison (55'), Amantchi (90+11')
Williams (37'), Jellis (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grimes (8')
Thompson (31'), Dobra (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Walsall and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 5-2 Doncaster
Thursday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawChesterfield
47.16% (0.030999999999999 0.03)24.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.25% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)46.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)68.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.024000000000001 0.02)19.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.039000000000001 0.04)51.95% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 47.16%
    Chesterfield 28.25%
    Draw 24.58%
WalsallDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.25%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Chesterfield
2-2
Walsall
Oldaker (45+1'), Markanday (67')
Lowe (33', 46')
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
Walsall
1-0
Chesterfield
Laird (53')

Grimshaw (81')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Chesterfield
2-0
Walsall
Evans (75', 79')
Nolan (37')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Chesterfield
1-4
Walsall
O'Connor (19' og.)
Banks (58'), Hird (59'), Novak (68')
Donohue (61')
Anderson (35' og.), Mantom (57', 75'), Hiwula (71')
Mantom (59')
Dec 15, 2015 7.45pm
Second Round
Walsall
0-0
Chesterfield
(Aggregate 0-0 | Walsall win 5-3 on penalties)
Taylor (71'), Evans (87')
Evatt (35'), Morsy (56'), O'Shea (67')