Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.