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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Accrington
1 - 2
Doncaster

Conneely (57')
O'Brien (45'), Conneely (71'), Woods (79'), Whalley (79'), Woods (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clifton (2'), Ward (61' og.)
Street (36'), Bailey (80'), Sharman-Lowe (90+6')
Kelly (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Doncaster
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawDoncaster Rovers
21.17% (0.117 0.12)25.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.57% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.116 0.12)56.76% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (0.093999999999998 0.09)77.7% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.99% (0.191 0.19)42% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.56% (0.165 0.17)78.44% (-0.166 -0.17)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 21.17%
    Doncaster Rovers 53.14%
    Draw 25.69%
Accrington StanleyDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.17%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 13.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.14%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Doncaster
4-1
Accrington
Molyneux (43', 63'), Gibson (68'), Sharp (87')
Walton (47')
Knowles (70'), O'Brien (85')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Doncaster
4-0
Accrington
Adelakun (6'), Ironside (21'), Maxwell (60'), Bailey (71')
Maxwell (78')

Whalley (28'), Pritchard (90+7')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Accrington
0-0
Doncaster
Shipley (55'), Conneely (64')
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Accrington
1-2
Doncaster
Pritchard (7')
Gubbins (13'), Conneely (62'), Woods (90'), Shipley (110'), Woods (115')
Westbrooke (67'), Ironside (101')
Faal (11')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Doncaster
2-2
Accrington
Faal (9+9'), Biggins (81')
Anderson (45+1'), Nixon (52')
Whalley (74'), Conneely (84')
Woods (27'), Hills (29'), Leigh (90+1')