League Two

League Two | Gameweek 32

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Angol (54'), Garner (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Walton (43'), Love (60'), Henderson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Accrington Stanley
44.5% ( 0.18)	25.68% ( -0.02)	29.82% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.34% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

0.02)

50.46% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

0.02)

72.38% (

-0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

0.1)

22.62% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

0.14)

56.23% (

-0.15)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.93% (

-0.1)

31.07% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61% (

-0.12)

67.38% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 44.49%

Accrington Stanley 29.82%

Draw 25.67%

Morecambe	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.49%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.82%