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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Angol (54'), Garner (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Walton (43'), Love (60'), Henderson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Accrington Stanley

Both teams have struggled recently, but the visitors have shown flashes of brilliance this season as exemplified by their victories over Colchester United, Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra in recent times. That said, the visitors are likely to edge this fixture and we predict a 2-1 for Doolan's team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
44.5% (0.184 0.18) 25.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 29.82% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.38% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.095999999999989 0.1)22.62% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.143 0.14)56.23% (-0.145 -0.15)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)31.07% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.121 -0.12)67.38% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 44.49%
    Accrington Stanley 29.82%
    Draw 25.67%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.82%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Accrington
2-1
Morecambe
Costelloe (36' pen., 45+1')
Rawson (51'), Costelloe (75'), O'Brien (90+5')
Tollitt (86')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-2
Morecambe
Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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