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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 34.48% ( | 26.46% ( | 39.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( | 52.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.02% ( | 73.97% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( | 28.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( | 64.72% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( | 26.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( | 61.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.05% |