Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.