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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 63.93% ( | 21.04% ( | 15.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.56% ( | 47.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( | 14.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.18% ( | 41.82% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.13% ( | 43.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.98% ( | 80.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 5-1 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.03% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.04% |