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AFC Wimbledon
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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Morecambe

Notts County
2 - 0
Morecambe

Whitaker (66'), Jatta (75')
Abbott (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (37'), Dallas (52'), Cooke (69'), Tutonda (69'), Taylor (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 3-1 Morecambe

While the margin may not be as heavy as their last meeting at Meadow Lane, Morecambe's decent form on their travels is unlikely to spare them from a tough test against an in-form Notts, who have won seven of their last nine matches; hence, we predict a victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
66.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 19.09% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 14% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.96% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.148 -0.15)41.04% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.152 -0.15)63.43% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)11.36% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.93% (-0.13 -0.13)36.07% (0.131 0.13)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)41.38% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11% (-0.055 -0.05)77.89% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 66.89%
    Morecambe 14%
    Draw 19.09%
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 66.89%
1-1 @ 9.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.09%
0-1 @ 4.15% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14%

How you voted: Notts County vs Morecambe

Notts County
100%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Angol (2')
Tollitt (24'), Harrack (78'), Lewis (90+5')
Harrack (90+1')
Platt (79')
Macarai (69')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Notts County
5-0
Morecambe
Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Notts County
Major (37')
Baldwin (36')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Notts County
0-0
Morecambe
Rose (50'), Doyle (95')
Bennett (14'), Mingoia (33'), Cranston (67'), Fleming (86'), Halstead (95')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Ellison (88')
Dennis (52')
Husin (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall382010867432470
2Bradford CityBradford38209952322069
3AFC Wimbledon3818101051282364
4Port Vale371713748371164
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
6Notts County3817111056391762
7Grimsby Town38185155254-259
8Colchester UnitedColchester38141684637958
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe38141684538758
10Salford City371411124441353
11Chesterfield3714101358441452
12Bromley381313124947252
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood381214124946350
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham381311145155-450
15Swindon TownSwindon381115125555048
16Newport CountyNewport38137184862-1446
17BarrowBarrow37129164245-345
18MK Dons37136184753-645
19Gillingham371110163139-843
20Accrington StanleyAccrington381011174555-1041
21Harrogate TownHarrogate38118192948-1941
22Tranmere RoversTranmere38813172855-2737
23Morecambe3886243357-2430
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3779212854-2630


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