League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 1
Morecambe

Thomas (8'), Ajiboye (82')
Antwi (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Edwards (79')
Tutonda (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Morecambe
41.12% ( 1.56)	26.44% ( 0.04)	32.43% ( -1.59)

Both teams to score 52.06% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.37% (

-0.48)

52.63% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

-0.42)

74.28% (

0.42)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.61)

25.24% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

0.83)

59.99% (

-0.83)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

-1.28)

30.36% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45% (

-1.55)

66.55% (

1.55)

Score Analysis

Newport County 41.12%

Morecambe 32.43%

Draw 26.44%

Newport County	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.12%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.43%