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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Barrow |
| 28.49% ( | 25.41% ( | 46.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( | 50.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( | 71.99% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( | 68.25% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( | 21.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( | 54.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 3-0 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.09% |