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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 69.34% ( | 18.79% ( | 11.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( | 44.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( | 11.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.02% ( | 36.98% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.87% ( | 47.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.41% ( | 82.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-0 @ 12.69% 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 3-0 @ 9.05% ( 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 69.32% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-2 @ 3.59% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.79% | 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 2-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.87% |