Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.