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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 39.8% ( | 25.28% ( | 34.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( | 47.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( | 69.35% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( | 23.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( | 57.46% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( | 26.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( | 61.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.92% |