League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)

Gillingham
1 - 2
Notts County

Gbode (80')
Ogie (25'), Ehmer (45+1'), McKenzie (52'), Nevitt (59'), Gbode (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tsaroulla (17'), McGoldrick (20')
Jones (44'), McDonald (60'), Abbott (90+2'), Jarvis (90+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Notts County
36.83% ( 0.19)	25.71% ( -0.04)	37.46% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13% (

0.19)

48.88% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

0.17)

70.97% (

-0.16)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

0.19)

25.85% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.19% (

0.26)

60.81% (

-0.26)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.01)

25.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

0.01)

60.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 36.83%

Notts County 37.46%

Draw 25.7%

Gillingham	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.83%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.46%