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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Gillingham

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Gillingham

Rose (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tharme (35' og.)
Khumbeni (56'), Little (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawGillingham
41.78% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)27.94% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)30.28% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.044999999999995 0.04)58.94% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.035 0.04)79.42% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.81% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.012 -0.01)63.4% (0.012 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (0.072999999999993 0.07)35.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (0.074999999999999 0.07)71.91% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 41.78%
    Gillingham 30.28%
    Draw 27.94%
Grimsby TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 30.28%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Gillingham

Grimsby Town
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Gillingham
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Gillingham
0-1
Grimsby Town

Morris (50')
Green (21')
McJannett (25'), Hume (51'), Pyke (66'), Green (81'), Khouri (88'), Rodgers (90+6')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Gillingham
1-1
Grimsby Town
Lapslie (15')
McKenzie (83'), Lapslie (84')
Wilson (13')
Clifton (18'), Tharme (22'), Hume (66')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
2-0
Gillingham
Maher (11'), Holohan (27')
Amos (90+4')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Gillingham
2-1
Grimsby Town
Lapslie (56'), Hawkins (87')
Holohan (75')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm