League Two Gameweek 26
AFC Wimbledon
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Kingsmeadow
Cheltenham
  • Joe Lewis 22' yellowcard
  • Marcus Browne 37' goal
  • goal Ashley Hay 24'
  • goal Matt Taylor 79'

AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Notts County
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mathew Stevens

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Cheltenham 0 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
George Miller

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 55.71% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 25.57% ▲ (+0.24)
Cheltenham Town 18.72% ▼ (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.51% ▼ (-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.06% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 2.5 58.94% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 3.5 20.58% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 3.5 79.43% ▲ (+1.06)
Over 4.5 8.67% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 4.5 91.33% ▲ (+0.63)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 78.76% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 0.5 21.25% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 1.5 45.84% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 54.16% ▲ (+0.70)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 53.98% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 0.5 46.03% ▲ (+1.37)
Over 1.5 18.26% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 1.5 81.74% ▲ (+1.09)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 55.7%
Draw 25.57%
Cheltenham Town 18.72%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 15.14% ▲ (+0.57)
2-0 @ 11.73% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.49)
2-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.57%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.72%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
  • Scot Bennett 28' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Pigott 67'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 90'+3'
FA Cup
AFC Wimbledon
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
Cheltenham
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 23' goal
  • James Tilley 45'+2' goal
  • Armani Little 59' yellowcard
  • James Tilley 61' goal
  • Josh Davison 65' goal
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 70' goal
  • yellowcard Curtis Thompson 59'
  • goal Rob Street 76'
  • yellowcard Josh Williams 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 39
Cheltenham
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Charlie Raglan 17' yellowcard
  • Ben Williams 63' yellowcard
  • Callum Wright 81' goal
  • George Lloyd 83' goal
  • Alfie May 90'+2' goal
  • goal Jack Rudoni 26'
  • yellowcard Anthony Hartigan 86'
League One Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Cheltenham
  • Ayoub Assal 8' goal
  • Lee Brown 45'+2' yellowcard
  • George Marsh 61' yellowcard
  • Aaron Cosgrove 80' goal
  • Aaron Cosgrove 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Sercombe 16'
  • yellowcard Charlie Raglan 26'
  • goal Alfie May 31'
  • goal Alfie May 34'
  • yellowcard Reece Hutchinson 66'
FA Cup
AFC Wimbledon
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Cheltenham
  • Ayoub Assal 36' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 41' goal
  • Ayoub Assal 55' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 65' goal
  • Luke McCormick 80' yellowcard
  • Alex Woodyard 87' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie May 2'
  • goal Andrew Williams 73'
  • yellowcard Chris Hussey 80'
  • goal Ben Heneghan 81' (OG)
  • yellowcard Christian Norton 89'
  • yellowcard Grant Horton 90'+6'
League Two
AFC Wimbledon
May 2, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Cheltenham
  • Jack Smith 44' goal
  • yellowcard Durrell Berry 19'
  • goal Durrell Berry 25'
  • yellowcard Troy Brown 51'
  • yellowcard Craig Braham-Barrett 93'

Form Data

AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Notts County
Morecambe 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Bromley
Colchester 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Fleetwood 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Salford City
Cheltenham 0 - 1 Colchester
Bradford 3 - 0 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 1 - 1 Grimsby Town
Cheltenham 2 - 2 Walsall
Newport 0 - 3 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 3 - 2 Barrow

Build-up

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