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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Cheltenham Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Browne (37')
Lewis (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hay (24'), Taylor (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
55.71% (0.252 0.25)25.57% (0.237 0.24)18.72% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 42.51% (-1.317 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (-1.339 -1.34)58.94% (1.347 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (-1.049 -1.05)79.43% (1.056 1.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (-0.437 -0.44)21.25% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.687 -0.69)54.16% (0.693 0.69)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (-1.361 -1.36)46.03% (1.366 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.26% (-1.074 -1.07)81.74% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 55.7%
    Cheltenham Town 18.72%
    Draw 25.57%
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 15.14% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 11.73% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.488 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.72%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham

AFC Wimbledon
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Cheltenham Town
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Bennett (28')
Pigott (67')
Reeves (90+3')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
5-1
Cheltenham
Al-Hamadi (23'), Tilley (45+2', 61'), Davison (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (70')
Little (59')
Street (76')
Thompson (59'), Williams (90+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cheltenham
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (81'), Lloyd (83'), May (90+2')
Raglan (17'), Williams (63')
Rudoni (26')
Hartigan (86')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Cheltenham
Assal (8'), Cosgrove (80')
Brown (45+2'), Marsh (61'), Cosgrove (90+6')
May (31', 34')
Sercombe (16'), Raglan (26'), Hutchinson (66')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
4-3
Cheltenham
Assal (36', 55'), Palmer (41', 65')
McCormick (80'), Woodyard (87')
May (2'), Williams (73'), Heneghan (81' og.)
Hussey (80'), Norton (89'), Horton (90+6')