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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 26.94% ( | 27% ( | 46.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( | 57.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( | 77.93% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( | 36.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( | 73.57% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( | 24.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( | 59.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.94% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0-4 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.06% |