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Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Morecambe
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Angol (20')
Lewis (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hutchinson (14'), Tilley (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Bromley
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon
26.94% (1.687 1.69)27% (0.165 0.16)46.06% (-1.855 -1.86)
Both teams to score 47.58% (0.846 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (0.431 0.43)57.04% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (0.346 0.35)77.93% (-0.348 -0.35)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (1.692 1.69)36.78% (-1.692 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (1.653 1.65)73.57% (-1.655 -1.66)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (-0.693 -0.69)24.73% (0.692 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)59.28% (0.979 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 26.94%
    AFC Wimbledon 46.06%
    Draw 27%
MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.264 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.342 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.205 0.21)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 12.7% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.88% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.06%

How you voted: Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon

Morecambe
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
AFC Wimbledon
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
3-0
Morecambe
Tilley (52'), Bugiel (66'), Stevens (70')
Lewis (54')

Hendrie (77')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Morecambe
Bugiel (50')
Tilley (62')
Stokes (74')
Khumbeni (11'), J (42'), Tutonda (66'), Davenport (86'), Melbourne (90+2')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mellon (46', 61' pen., 88'), Lewis (51' og.)
Adams (58'), Davenport (65'), Tutonda (79')
Little (72')
Bugiel (57')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Morecambe
Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Stockton (49', 65'), McLoughlin (54')
Leigh (73'), Delaney (89')
Hartigan (5'), Chislett (61'), Nightingale (72'), Assal (90+4')
Mebude (25'), Lawrence (35'), Chislett (67'), Assal (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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